The Oscars 2013: my POV

Last updated: February 18 2013
(created on February 17 2013)

✔ 18 right predictions out of 24 (75% of accuracy)
✘ 08 wrong predictions

In bold are the bets predicted for most of the sources
If a title doesn't have any number indicating a source, it means none of them predict this movie but it won an Oscar anyway

BEST PICTURE
✔ Argo Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ

BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
✔ Lincoln (Daniel Day-Lewis) Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ
✘ The Master (Joaquin Phoenix) Ⓐ

BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
✔ Silver Linings Playbook (Jennifer Lawrence) Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
✘ Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln) Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓤ
✘ Robert De Niro Ⓔ Ⓖ
✔ Christoph Waltz

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
✔ Les Misérables (Anne Hathaway)Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ

BEST DIRECTING
✘ Lincoln (Steven Spielberg) Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ
✘ Silver Linings Playbook (David O. Russel) Ⓐ
✔ Life of Pi (Ang Lee)

BEST WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
✔ Django Unchained Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ
✘ Amour Ⓔ Ⓖ

BEST WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
✔ Argo Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ
✘ Lincoln Ⓧ Ⓖ

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
✘ Wreck-It Ralph Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ
✔ Brave

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
✔ Amour Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
✔ Life of Pi Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ

BEST FILM EDITING
✔ Argo Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
✘ Les Misérables Ⓧ
✘ Life of Pi Ⓔ
✘ Anna Karenina Ⓤ Ⓖ
✔ Lincoln

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
✔ Anna Karenina Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
✘ The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey Ⓧ Ⓤ Ⓖ
✔ Les Misérables Ⓔ

BEST MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)
✔ Life of Pi Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ

BEST MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)
✔ Skyfall ("Skyfall") Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ

BEST SOUND MIXING
✔ Les Misérables Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ

BEST SOUND EDITING
✔ Zero Dark Thirty Ⓧ Ⓤ (tie)
✘ Life of Pi Ⓔ Ⓖ
✔ Skyfall (tie)

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
✔ Life of Pi Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
✔ Searching for Sugar Man Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
✘ Open Heart Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ
✔ Inocente

BEST SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)
✔ Curfew Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ

BEST SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)
✔ Paperman Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ

Sources:

Awards Daily Forums' Oscar Predictions Ⓐ
Gold Derby's Experts Predictions Ⓧ
Gold Derby's Editors Predictions Ⓔ
Gold Derby's Users Predictions Ⓤ
Movie City News' Gurus of Gold Ⓖ

Last updated: February 17 2013
(created on May 21 2012 and updated every month ever since)

104 movies predicted to be nominated
53 movies nominated
09 movies no longer eligible to be nominated during the year

285 predictions
121 right predictions (42,46% of accuracy)
164 wrong predictions
04 unpredicted nominations

52 movies predicted and nominated (see the sections "Seen" and "Unseen")
51 movies predicted but not nominated (see the section with the same name)
01 movie unpredicted but nominated (Ted)


(ordered by numbers of predicted nominations)

Les Misérables
8 nominations / 15 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture* **
02. Best Director (Tom Hooper)* **
03. Best Adapted Screenplay (William Nicholson)* **
04. Best Cinematography (Danny Cohen)* **
05. Best Actor (Hugh Jackman)* **
06. Best Supporting Actress (Anne Hathaway)* **
07. Best Supporting Actress (Samantha Barks)*
08. Best Supporting Actor (Russell Crowe)*
09. Best Editing (Melanie Oliver, Chris Dickens)* **
10. Best Production Design* **
11. Best Costume Design* **
12. Best Sound Mixing* **
13. Best Sound Editing* **
14. Best Makeup and Hairstyling** ***
15. Best Original Song (Suddenly)**

Lincoln
12 nominations / 14 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture* **
02. Best Director (Steven Spielberg)* **
03. Best Adapted Screenplay (Tony Kushner, John Logan, Paul Webb)* **
04. Best Cinematography (Janusz Kaminski)* **
05. Best Actor (Daniel Day-Lewis)* **
06. Best Supporting Actress (Sally Field)* **
07. Best Supporting Actor (David Strathairn)*
08. Best Supporting Actor (Tommy Lee Jones)* **
09. Best Editing (Michael Kahn)* **
10. Best Production Design* **
11. Best Costume Design* **
12. Best Original Score* **
13. Best Sound Mixing**
14. Best Makeup and Hairstyling** ***

Django Unchained
5 nominations / 14 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture* **
02. Best Director (Quentin Tarantino)* **
03. Best Original Screenplay (Quentin Tarantino)* **
04. Best Cinematography (Robert Richardson)**
05. Best Editing (Fred Raskin)**
05. Best Supporting Actor (Leonardo DiCaprio)* **
06. Best Supporting Actor (Christoph Waltz)**
07. Best Production Design* **
08. Best Costume Design* **
09. Best Sound Editing**
10. Best Sound Mixing**
11. Best Original Song (100 Black Coffins)**
12. Best Original Song (Ancora Qui)**
13. Best Original Song (Freedom)**
14. Best Original Song (Who Did That to You?)**

Argo
7 nominations / 13 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture* **
02. Best Director (Ben Affleck)* **
03. Best Adapted Screenplay (Chris Terrio)* **
04. Best Cinematography (Rodrigo Prieto)**
05. Best Supporting Actor (John Goodman)**
06. Best Supporting Actor (Bryan Cranston)*
07. Best Supporting Actor (Alan Arkin)* **
08. Best Editing (William Goldenberg)* **
09. Best Production Design**
10. Best Original Score* **
11. Best Costume Design**
12. Best Sound Editing**
13. Best Sound Mixing**

Life of Pi
11 nominations / 11 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture* **
02. Best Director (Ang Lee)* **
03. Best Adapted Screenplay (David Magee)* **
04. Best Cinematography (Claudio Miranda)* **
05. Best Editing (Tim Squyers)* **
06. Best Production Design* **
07. Best Original Score* **
08. Best Achievement in Visual Effects* ** ***
09. Best Sound Mixing*
10. Best Sound Editing*
11. Best Original Song (Pi's Lullaby)**

The Master
3 nominations / 10 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture* **
02. Best Director (Paul Thomas Anderson)* **
03. Best Original Screenplay (Paul Thomas Anderson)* **
04. Best Cinematography (Mihai Malaimare Jr.)* **
05. Best Actor (Joaquin Phoenix)* **
06. Best Supporting Actor (Philip Seymour Hoffman)* **
07. Best Supporting Actress (Amy Adams)* **
08. Best Editing*
09. Best Production Design**
10. Best Original Score**

The Dark Knight Rises
0 nominations / 9 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture* **
02. Best Director (Christopher Nolan)**
03. Best Adapted Screenplay (Christopher Nolan Jonathan Nolan) **
04. Best Cinematography (Wally Pfister)* **
05. Best Achievement in Visual Effects* ** ***
06. Best Production Design**
07. Best Sound Mixing* **
08. Best Sound Editing* **
09. Best Original Score**

Silver Linings Playbook
8 nominations / 8 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture* **
02. Best Adapted Screenplay (David O. Russell)* **
03. Best Director (David O. Russell)* **
04. Best Actor (Bradley Cooper)* **
05. Best Actress (Jennifer Lawrence)* **
06. Best Supporting Actor (Robert DeNiro)* **
07. Best Supporting Actress (Jacki Weaver)**
08. Best Editing (Jay Cassidy)* **

Zero Dark Thirty
5 nominations / 8 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture* **
02. Best Director (Kathryn Bigelow)* **
03. Best Original Screenplay (Mark Boal)* **
04. Best Actress (Jessica Chastain)* **
05. Best Cinematography (Greig Fraser)**
06. Best Editing (William Goldenberg, Dylan Tichenor)* **
07. Best Sound Mixing* **
08. Best Sound Editing* **

Beasts of the Southern Wild
4 nominations / 7 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture* **
02. Best Director (Benh Zeitlin)**
03. Best Adapted Screenplay (Lucy Alibar, Benh Zeitlin)* **
04. Best Cinematography (Ben Richardson)**
05. Best Actress (Quvenzhané Wallis)* **
06. Best Supporting Actor (Dwight Henry)* **
07. Best Original Score* **

Cloud Atlas
0 nominations / 7 predicted nominations
01. Best Cinematography (Frank Griebe, John Toll)**
02. Best Supporting Actor (Jim Broadbent)**
03. Best Achievement in Visual Effects** ***
04. Best Original Score**
05. Best Costume Design**
06. Best Sound Editing**
07. Best Sound Mixing**

Looper
0 nominations / 7 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture**
02. Best Director (Rian Johnson)**
03. Best Original Screenplay (Rian Johnson)**
04. Best Supporting Actor (Bruce Wiilis)**
05. Best Sound Editing**
06. Best Sound Mixing**
07. Best Makeup and Hairstyling***

Anna Karenina
4 nominations / 6 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture* **
02. Best Cinematography (Seamus McGarvey)*
03. Best Actress (Keira Knightley)*
04. Best Production Design* **
05. Best Costume Design* **
06. Best Original Score* **

Amour
5 nominations / 6 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture* **
02. Best Director (Michael Haneke)**
03. Best Original Screenplay (Michael Haneke)* **
04. Best Foreign Language Film (Austria)* ** ***
05. Best Actress (Emmanuelle Riva)* **
06. Best Actor (Jean-Louis Trintignant)**

Flight
2 nominations / 6 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture**
02. Best Director (Bob Zemeckis)**
03. Best Original Screenplay (John Gatins)* **
04. Best Actor (Denzel Washington)* **
05. Best Supporting Actor (Don Cheadle)**
06. Best Supporting Actress (Kellie Reilly)**

Skyfall
5 nominations / 6 predicted nominations / 1 unpredicted nomination (+)
01. Best Cinematography (Roger Deakins)* **
02. Best Supporting Actor (Javier Bardem)**
03. Best Achievement in Visual Effects** ***
04. Best Sound Editing**
05. Best Sound Mixing**
06. Best Original Song (“Skyfall”)**
+07. Best Original Score (Thomas Newman)

Monrise Kingdom
1 nomination / 5 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture* **
02. Best Director (Wes Anderson)**
03. Best Original Screenplay (Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola)* **
04. Best Original Score**
05. Best Costume Design**

Hyde Park on Hudson
0 nominations / 5 predicted nominations
01. Best Actor (Bill Murray)*
02. Best Actress (Laura Linney)*
03. Best Supporting Actress (Olivia Williams)*
04. Best Production Design**
05. Best Costume Design**

Hitchcock
1 nomination / 5 predicted nominations
01. Best Actress (Helen Mirren)*
02. Best Production Design**
03. Best Makeup and Hairstyling** ***
04. Best Original Score**
05. Best Costume Design**

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
3 nominations / 5 predicted nominations
01. Best Production Design* **
02. Best Achievement in Visual Effects* ** ***
03. Best Makeup and Hairstyling** ***
04. Best Costume Design**
05. Best Original Song (Song of Lonely Mountain)**

The Sessions
1 nomination / 4 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture*
02. Best Adapted Screenplay (Ben Lewin)*
03. Best Actress / Supporting Actress (Helen Hunt)* **
04. Best Actor (John Hawkes)* **

Middle of Nowhere
0 nominations / 4 predicted nominations
01. Best Director (Ava DuVernay)**
02. Best Original Screenplay (Ava DuVernay)**
03. Best Actress (Emayatzy Corinealdi)**
04. Best Supporting Actress (Lorraine Toussaint)**

The Impossible
1 nomination / 3 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture* **
02. Best Actress (Naomi Watts)* **
03. Best Actor (Tom Holland)**

The Avengers
1 nomination / 3 predicted nominations
01. Best Achievement in Visual Effects* ** ***
02. Best Sound Mixing* **
03. Best Sound Editing* **

Arbitrage
0 nominations / 3 predicted nominations
01. Best Original Screenplay (Nicholas Jarecki)**
02. Best Actor (Richard Gere)**
03. Best Supporting Actor (Nate Parker)**

The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
0 nominations / 3 predicted nominations
01. Best Picture**
02. Best Supporting Actor (Bill Nighy)**
03. Best Supporting Actress (Maggie Smith)**

Prometheus
1 nomination / 3 predicted nominations
01. Best Achievement in Visual Effects* ** ***
02. Best Sound Editing**
03. Best Sound Mixing**

The Amazing Spider-Man
0 nominations / 3 predicted nominations
01. Best Achievement in Visual Effects** ***
02. Best Sound Editing**
03. Best Sound Mixing**

Snow White and the Huntsman
2 nominations / 3 predicted nominations / 1 unpredicted nomination (+)
01. Best Makeup and Hairstyling** ***
02. Best Achievement in Visual Effects** ***
03. Best Original Song (Breath of Life)**
+04. Best Costume Design

Brave
1 nomination / 3 predicted nominations
01. Best Animated Feature Film* **
02. Best Original Song (Touch the Sky)**
03. Best Original Song (Learn Me Right)**

The Paperboy
0 nominations / 2 predicted nominations
01. Best Supporting Actress (Nicole Kidman)* **
02. Best Supporting Actor (John Cusack)*

Frankenweenie
1 nomination / 2 predicted nominations
01. Best Animated Feature Film* **
02. Best Original Song (Strange Love)**

Wreck-it Ralph
1 nomination / 2 predicted nominations
01. Best Animated Feature Film* **
02. Best Original Song (When Can I See You Again?)**

Rise of the Guardians
0 nominations / 2 predicted nominations
01. Best Animated Feature Film* **
02. Best Original Song (Still Dream)**

The Lorax
0 nominations / 2 predicted nominations
01. Best Animated Feature Film**
02. Best Original Song (Let it Grow)**

The Perks of Being a Wallflower
0 nominations / 2 predicted nominations
01. Best Adapted Screenplay (Stephen Chbosky)* **
02. Best Supporting Actor (Ezra Miller)**

Battleship
0 nominations / 2 predicted nominations
01. Best Sound Editing**
02. Best Sound Mixing**

Magic Mike
0 nominations / 2 predicted nominations
01. Best Supporting Actor (Matthew McConaughey)* **
02. Best Original Song (Ladies of Tampa)**

Rust and Bone
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Actress (Marion Cotillard)* **

Girl Most Likely
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Supporting Actress (Annette Bening)*

Holy Motors
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Picture**

The Deep Blue Sea
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Actress (Rachel Weisz)**

Compliance
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Supporting Actress (Ann Dowd)**

The Intochables
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Foreign Language Film (France)* ** ***

A Royal Affair
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Foreign Language Film (Denmark)* ** ***

No
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Foreign Language Film (Chile)* ** ***

War Witch
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Foreign Language Film (Canada)* ***

Beyond the Hills
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Foreign Language Film (Romania)** ***

Sister
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Foreign Language Film (Switzerland)***

Kon-Tiki
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Foreign Language Film (Norway)* ***

The Deep
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Foreign Language Film (Iceland)* ***

Mirror Mirror
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Costume Design

Hotel Transylvania
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Animated Feature Film**

The Pirates! Band of Misfist
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Animated Feature Film*

Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Animated Feature Film**

ParaNorman
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Animated Feature Film* **

Men in Black 3
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Makeup and Hairstyling** ***

John Carter
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Achievement in Visual Effects** ***

The Hunger Games
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Original Song (Abraham's Daughter)**

This is 40
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Original Song (Dull Tool)**

Safety Not Guaranteed
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Original Song (Big Machine)**

Ai weiwei: Never Sorry
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Feature*** **

Bully
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Feature*** **

Chasing Ice
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination / 1 unpredicted nomination (+)
01. Best Documentary Feature*** **
+02. Best Song (“Before My Time”)

Detropia
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Feature*** **

Ethel
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Feature*** **

5 Broken Cameras
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Feature** ***

The Gatekeepers
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Feature** ***

The House I Live In
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Feature***

How to Survive a Plague
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Feature** ***

The Imposter
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Feature***

The Invisible War
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Feature** ***

Mea Maxima Culpa: Silence in the House of God
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Feature*** **

Seaching for Sugar Man
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Feature** ***

This is Not a Film
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Feature*** **

The Waiting Room
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Feature*** **

A Fábrica
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Short Film (Live Action)***

Asad
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Short Film (Live Action)***

Buzkashi Boys
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Short Film (Live Action)***

Curfew
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Short Film (Live Action)***

Death of a Shadow
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Short Film (Live Action)***

Henry
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Short Film (Live Action)***

Kiruna-Kigali
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Short Film (Live Action)***

Il turno di notte lo fanno le stelle
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Short Film (Live Action)***

9 meter
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Short Film (Live Action)***

Salar
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Short Film (Live Action)***

When You Find Me
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Short Film (Live Action)***

Adam and Dog
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Animated Short***

Combustible
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Animated Short***

Dripped
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Animated Short***

The Eagleman Stag
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Animated Short***

Fresh Guacamole
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Animated Short***

Head Over Heels
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Animated Short***

The Simpsons: The Longest Daycare
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Animated Short***

Paperman
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Animated Short***

Tram
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Animated Short***

The Education of Mohammad Hussein
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Short Subject***

Inocente
1  nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Short Subject***

Kings Point
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Short Subject***

Mondays at Racine
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Short Subject***

Open Heart
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Short Subject***

Paraíso
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Short Subject***

The Perfect Fit
0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Short Subject***

Redemption
1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination
01. Best Documentary Short Subject***

Ted
1 unpredicted nomination (+)
+01. Best Song ("Everybody Needs a Best Friend")

Sources:

Awards Daily Forums' Oscar Predictions*
The five most voted out of each month
And the ten most voted for the Best Film category

Awards Daily's 2012 Contender Tracker**

Oscars shortlists***
Foreign Language Film
Documentary Feature
Visual Effects
Makeup and Hairstyling
Short Film (Live Action)
Animated Short Film
Documentary Short Subject:

(top of the list got watched first and so it goes)