Predicting the Winners of the 2014 Oscars- RESULTS

And the nominees are...


*American Hustle
*Captain Phillips
*Dallas Buyers Club
*Gravity
*Her
*Nebraska
*Philomena
*12 Years a Slave
*The Wolf of Wall Street

And the Oscar goes to...

**12 Years a Slave**

Update: 12 Years a Slave is still the favorite here, but it's not a lock. Gravity is the most likely spoiler here, having won various other prizes, including tying with Slave at the PGAs. American Hustle's momentum following the SAGs has pretty much died. It's got a chance, but it's highly unlikely.

Earlier

This is one of the closest races in recent memory. American Hustle, Gravity and 12 Years a Slave could all vary well win. Each has won a precursor. Hustle won the Golden Globe for comedy, and the SAG for best ensemble (or their Best Picture). 12 Years won the drama Globe and the Critic's choice, along with tying Gravity for best picture at the Producer's Guild. Its a close one, but I'm going with what's been my prediction all year, 12 Years a Slave. It feels like it's got the momentum. If it doesn't, look for American Hustle to take it. Gravity could win, but I think that it has the weakest chance of the three. But if the other two split, then it's a possibility.

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...


*Alfonso Cuarón- Gravity
*Steve McQueen- 12 Years a Slave
*Alexander Payne- Nebraska
*David O. Russell- American Hustle
*Martin Scorsese- The Wolf of Wall Street

And the Oscar goes to...

**Alfonso Cuarón- Gravity**

Update: He's one of the few locks of the night.

Earlier

While the BP race is seemingly up in the air, the director's race is not. Cuarón's won most all of the other awards and is likely to win here. But, if either 12 Years or Hustle pick up steam, their directors could pull an upset.

Was I Right: Yep.

And the nominees are...


*Christian Bale- American Hustle
*Bruce Dern- Nebraska
*Leonardo DiCaprio- The Wolf of Wall Street
*Chiwetel Ejiofor- 12 Years a Slave
*Matthew McConaughey- Dallas Buyers Club

And the Oscar goes to...

**Matthew McConaughey- Dallas Buyers Club**

McConaughey won the SAG, the Golden Globe, and the Critic's Choice Award. In any other year, that would make him a lock, not this year. Granted, he is the heavy favorite, but not completely clear. If 12 Years a Slave starts doing better than expected, Ejiofor could surprise, as could DiCaprio, who has gained a lot of momentum as of late. Dern has a shot, but not a great one, and I find it highly unlikely that Bale will surprise here, but stranger things have happened.

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...


*Amy Adams- American Hustle
*Cate Blanchett- Blue Jasmine
*Sandra Bullock- Gravity
*Judi Dench- Philomena
*Meryl Streep- August: Osage County

And the Oscar goes to...

**Cate Blanchett- Blue Jasmine**

Blachett's won damn near everything this season, and seems like one of the few genuine locks of the night. Amy Adams is probably running second and, if Hustle really starts to clean up, she might have a shot. But that's pretty unlikely.

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...


*Sally Hawkins- Blue Jasmine
*Jennifer Lawrence- American Hustle
*Lupita Nyong'o- 12 Years a Slave
*Julia Roberts- August: Osage County
*June Squibb- Nebraska

And the Oscar goes to...

**Jennifer Lawrence- American Hustle**

Update: This is an extremely close race. And in extremely close races, it's usually something superficial that decides the winner. Something like likeability starts playing a bigger part than it should. While Nyong'o has become this season's darling, I think last year's Jennifer Lawrence pulls something of an upset here. Its eerily reminiscent of the Best Actress situation two years ago when Viola Davis won the Critic's Choice and SAG awards, and Meryl Streep won the Golden Globe and BAFTA, and then went on to win the Oscar. I think a similar result occurs here too. If they both split, June Squibb could pull a major upset.

Earlier

It's a two-woman race here, with Nyong'o seemingly holding a slight lead of Lawrence. It's highly posible that Lawrence will win this, but I find it unlikely that the academy would give two in a row to someone so young, and highly likely to be nominated again. Also, Nyong'o has sort of become this award season's darling, generating a lot of love from fans, and likely voters.

Was I Right: No, Nyong'o rightfully won.

And the nominees are...


*Barkhad Abdi- Captain Phillips
*Bradley Cooper- American Hustle
*Michael Fassbender- 12 Years a Slave
*Jonah Hill- The Wolf of Wall Street
*Jared Leto- Dallas Buyers Club

And the Oscar goes to...

**Jared Leto- Dallas Buyers Club**

Leto has won virtually every award out there, he's a lock. If he were to be upset though, I'd go with Cooper, based solely on the amount of love it appears the academy has for American Huslte.

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...

*Steve Coogan & Jeff Pope- Philomena
*Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy & Ethan Hawke- Before Midnight
*Billy Ray- Captain Phillips
*John Ridley- 12 Years a Slave
*Terence Winter- The Wolf of Wall Street

And the Oscar goes to...

**John Ridley- 12 Years a Slave**

This is pretty much a lock for Ridley. 12 Years is one of three major Best Picture contenders, and the only one in this category. Before Midnight or Philomena could surprise here, but they won't.

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...

*Woody Allen- Blue Jasmine
*Craig Borten & Melisa Wallack- Dallas Buyers Club
*Spike Jonze- Her
*Bob Nelson- Nebraska
*Eric Warren Singer & David O. Russell- American Hustle

And the Oscar goes to...

**Spike Jonze- Her**

Update: I've thought long and hard about this one, and I think I'm gonna stick with Her. It's fairly neck and neck between it and American Hustle, but Her has won everything it's supposed to to be considered the frontrunner. Also, many may be thrown off by the reports that most of Hustle was improvised.

Earlier

This category comes down to Hustle and Her, and I feel like Her is slightly ahead. Jonze won the Golden Globe and Critic's Choice Award, beating Russell and Singer both times. Having said that, American Hustle got 10 nods, and is a Best Picture frontrunner. Whoever wins the WGA will give a bit more clarity as to who the favorite is, but for now I'm sticking wih Jonze.

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...


*The Croods
*Despicable Me 2
*Frozen
*Ernest & Celestine
*The Wind Rises

And the Oscar goes to...

**Frozen**

Frozen just has the momentum, pure and simple. It's been cleaning up all the animation awards around, and there's really nothing that could stop it.

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...

*William Butler & Owen Pallett- Her ---- Listen
*Alexandre Desplat- Philomena --- Listen
*Thomas Newman- Saving Mr. Banks --- Listen
*Steven Price- Gravity --- Listen
*John Williams- The Book Thief --- Listen

And the Oscar goes to...

**Steven Price- Gravity**

Gravity seems poised to win another gold statuette her. It's not a lock, Her could sneak away with it, but it's close to it.

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...

* "Happy" from Despicable Me 2- Pharrell Williams
* "Let It Go" from Frozen- Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez
* "The Moon Song" from Her- Karen O and Spike Jonze
* "Ordinary Love" from Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom- U2

And the Oscar goes to...

** "Let It Go" from Frozen by Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez**

Frozen is the favorite here, but it's fairly easy to see any of the other songs winning.

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...

*The Grandmaster- Philippe Le Sourd
*Gravity- Emmanuel Lubezki
*Inside Llewyn Davis- Bruno Delbonnel
*Nebraska- Phedon Papamichael
*Prisoners- Roger Deakins

And the Oscar goes to...

**Gravity**

One of the biggest locks of the night, if Lubezki loses it would be shocking. The only potential spoiler here would be Deakins, who has been nominated 11 times without a win.

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...


*The Broken Circle Breakdown
*The Great Beauty
*The Hunt
*The Missing Picture
*Omar

And the Oscar goes to...

**The Great Beauty**

I've stated numerous times that I have no clue as to what the academy's tastes are when it comes to the foreign film category, and the still stands. I'm going with The Great Beauty simply because it won the Golden Globe. The Broken Circle Breakdown or The Hunt could just as easily win.

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...

*American Hustle- Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers, and Alan Baumgarten
*Captain Phillips- Christopher Rouse
*Dallas Buyers Club- John Mac McMurphy and Martin Pensa
*Gravity- Alfonso Cuarón and Mark Sanger
*12 Years a Slave- Joe Walker

And the Oscar goes to...

**Gravity**

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...

*American Hustle- Judy Becker & Heather Loeffler
*Gravity- Andy Nicholson, Rosie Goodwin and Joanne Woollard
*The Great Gatsby- Catherine Martin & Beverley Dunn
*Her- K. K. Barrett & Gene Serdena
*12 Years a Slave- Adam Stockhausen & Alice Baker

And the Oscar goes to...

**The Great Gatsby**

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...

*American Hustle- Michael Wilkinson
*The Grandmaster- William Chang Suk Ping
*The Great Gatsby- Catherine Martin
*The Invisible Woman- Michael O'Connor
*12 Years a Slave- Patricia Norris

And the Oscar goes to...

**The Great Gatsby**

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...

*Captain Phillips- Chris Burdon, Mark Taylor, Mike Prestwood Smith, and Chris Munro
*Gravity- Skip Lievsay, Niv Adiri, Christopher Benstead, and Chris Munro
*The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug - Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Michael Semanick, and Tony Johnson
*Inside Llewyn Davis- Skip Lievsay, Greg Orloff, and Peter F. Kurland
*Lone Survivor- Andy Koyama, Beau Borders, and David Brownlow

And the Oscar goes to...

**Gravity**

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...

*All Is Lost- Steve Boeddeker and Richard Hymns
*Captain Phillips- Oliver Tarney
*Gravity- Glenn Freemantle
*The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug - Brent Burge and Chris Ward
*Lone Survivor- Wylie Stateman

And the Oscar goes to...

**Gravity**

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...

*Dallas Buyers Club- Adruitha Lee and Robin Mathews
*Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa- Stephen Prouty
*The Lone Ranger- Joel Harlow and Gloria Pasqua-Casny

And the Oscar goes to...

**Dallas Buyers Club**

Update: Okay, it now appears that Dallas Buyers Club will take this one, with Grandpa trying to play the spoiler.

Earlier

In one of the oddest occurrences ever, it appears likely that a Jackass movie will win an Oscar. Wow. Buyers has a solid shot, it's the only Best Picture nominee in the group, but its makeup wasn't as showy as Grandpa.

Was I Right: Yes.

And the nominees are...

*Gravity- Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, Dave Shirk, and Neil Corbould
*The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug- Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton, and Eric Reynolds
*Iron Man 3- Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Erik Nash, and Dan Sudick
*The Lone Ranger- Tim Alexander, Gary Brozenich, Edson Williams, and John Frazier
*Star Trek Into Darkness- Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Ben Grossmann, and Burt Dalton

And the Oscar goes to...

**Gravity**

Duh.

Was I Right: Yes.