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Best Picture
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Appears to have the broadest base of support; i.e. it's become the favorite.2.
It's in.3.
After that SAG ensemble nod, this one clearly has a lot of appeal. This could be a very interesting contender if it wins a few major awards.4.
After those big Globe wins, it could very well start a run to a victory.5.
It's not winning, but it's a guaranteed nominee.6.
Scored nominations everywhere it needs to to be considered a lock.7.
Consistently performed strongly across all major guilds; not quite a lock, it's still a comic book movie with somewhat mixed reviews, but it's looking very firm here.8.
Under-performed so far, but the film is doing quite well at the box office, and generated a fair amount of conversation; it's breaking at just the right time. Could get a big snub (especially considering how rapturous the response to the film has been), but I'm optimistic. 9.
Pretty much the same thing that I said the last time; well-received, old-fashioned entertainment that's done strongly across guilds. This could just be an eight-picture field (or even a seven), but I suspect this will be the ninth if it goes that long, as it predominately has since 2011 (2011, 2012, 2013, 2016, 2017). Other Possibilities
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I'll be honest; I was very tempted to put this in the ninth spot. It scored a big PGA nomination, along with the Globe nods, and several key guild marks. It's a box office hit, with a lot of broad support; it's a film that could easily be seen on several ballots (it's a film that's easy to like). That said, between this a Ford v Ferrari, the former is, historically, the kind of Oscar fare that voters drool over. It's you dad's favorite movie, and there are a lot of dads in the Academy. It's a sleeper though, and I could see it sneaking in (I'm personally hoping that it does). 11.
SAG went wild for the film, nominating it's cast, and three leads individually. With support from the actors' branch, the largest voting block in the Academy, Bombshell could be a major party crasher. It's been a bust pretty much everywhere else, though; less-than-stellar reviews and box office, as well as little cultural footprint. I could see it in, but it doesn't seem to have much heat.12.
It did well at the Globes, but it's had a hard time gaining traction anywhere else. While I'm sure that older-skewering voters enjoy it, I don't see enough broad support for it. 13.
It's had a disappointing awards run thus far (despite Awkwafina's Globe win), but there's typically one movie that hasn't played well at the guilds (Phantom Thread, Philomena, Room, Selma, among others) that sneaks in thanks to a passionate voter base. Granted, those films have usually been top prize nominated at other awards (it's been relegated to Best Foreign Language Film categories, where it's ineligible at the Oscars). Unlikely, but not impossible.14.
A hail mary toss, but not outside the realm of possibility.
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Best Director
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Best Actor
Joker (2019)
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Best Actress
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Best Supporting Actress
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Best Supporting Actor
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Best Adapted Screenplay
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Best Original Screenplay
Marriage Story (2019)
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Best International Film
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Best Animated Feature
Toy Story 4 (2019)
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The only major change to this list from the last; Missing Link's Golden Globe win (only one winner of that award has ever been snubbed for an Oscar nomination; Tintin in 2011), and nominations at all of the major precursors (BAFTA, PGA, Annie Awards) make this a prominent contender. 4.
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Best Documentary Feature
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Best Original Song
Frozen II (2019)
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No changes from my previous list, outside of shifting #4 and #5.
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Best Original Score
1917 (2020)
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Best Cinematography
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Best Costume Design
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Best Production Design
Jojo Rabbit (2019)
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Best Film Editing
1. Thelma Schoonmaker- The Irishman
2. Michael McCusker and Andrew Buckland- Ford v Ferrari
3. Fred Raskin- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
4. Jinmo Yang- Parasite
5. Jeff Groth- Joker
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6. Tom Eagles- Jojo Rabbit
7. Bob Ducsay- Knives Out
8. Jennifer Lame- Marriage Story
9. Lee Smith- 1917
10. Chris Dickens- Rocketman
2. Michael McCusker and Andrew Buckland- Ford v Ferrari
3. Fred Raskin- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
4. Jinmo Yang- Parasite
5. Jeff Groth- Joker
6. Tom Eagles- Jojo Rabbit
7. Bob Ducsay- Knives Out
8. Jennifer Lame- Marriage Story
9. Lee Smith- 1917
10. Chris Dickens- Rocketman
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Best Sound Editing
1. 1917
2. Ford v Ferrari
3. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
4. Avengers: Endgame
5. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
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6. Rocketman
7. Ad Astra
8. The Irishman
9. The Lion King
10. Joker
2. Ford v Ferrari
3. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
4. Avengers: Endgame
5. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
6. Rocketman
7. Ad Astra
8. The Irishman
9. The Lion King
10. Joker
BradWesley123's rating:
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Best Sound Mixing
1. 1917
2. Ford v Ferrari
3. Rocketman
4. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
5. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Other Possibilities
6. Joker
7. Avengers: Endgame
8. The Irishman
9. The Lion King
10. Ad Astra
2. Ford v Ferrari
3. Rocketman
4. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
5. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
6. Joker
7. Avengers: Endgame
8. The Irishman
9. The Lion King
10. Ad Astra
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Best Makeup and Hairstyling
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Best Visual Effects
Avengers: Endgame (2019)
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No, no. We don't need to see this anymore.
BradWesley123's rating:
The Irishman: 9
Joker: 8
1917: 7
Little Women: 6
Marriage Story: 6
Parasite: 6
Jojo Rabbit: 5
Rocketman: 5
Ford v Ferrari: 4
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker: 4
Bombshell: 3
Avengers: Endgame: 2
Frozen II: 2
The Farewell: 2
Harriet: 2
Judy: 2
The Lion King: 2
Pain & Glory: 2
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Best Lists of 2020 (Working: Nominate Your Lists!)
(77 lists)list by lalaman
Published 3 years, 3 months ago
9 comments