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Best Picture
The Trial of the Chicago 7 (2020)
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BradWesley123's rating:


Best Director
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Regina King scored a Globe nod, and has a likely BP contender, but One Night in Miami just hasn't had the strongest season, and her work, while strong, isn't as showy as a few a the other contenders. Da 5 Bloods just hasn't had a good season at all, and looks to miss most major categories. Is it possible that Lee could still pull out a nod, even without a BP player? Certainly, but there are just too many contenders with surging films. Greengrass is in a similar boat; News of the World has done okay, but it just doesn't seem to have much passion behind it, and he hasn't shown up anywhere. Zeller's got a showy piece with The Father, but I'm not sure it has enough juice to make into a crowded picture race, let alone director. That leaves me with two directors of surging films; Shaka King (Judas and the Black Messiah) and Darius Marder (Sound of Metal). Either could score here, but my gut says that Marder's got the bigger of the two; playing with audio like he did in the film shows the kind of vision that I think the directors branch will eat up.
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Best Actress
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Best Actor
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BradWesley123's rating:


Best Supporting Actor
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Then there's Raci, who's been hanging around all season, only scoring a Critics' Choice nomination (he did get in at BAFTA, but I just don't know what that new voting system means for overlap). He's been the sentimental pick here, and I think that in a category as varied as this one, that will win out. It also helps that Sound of Metal has caught momentum of late, scoring nominations at most major guilds (ACE, DGA, PGA, SAG, WGA).
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BradWesley123's rating:


Best Supporting Actress
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm (2020)
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BradWesley123's rating:


Best Original Screenplay
Minari (2021)
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Best Adapted Screenplay
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Best Documentary Feature

Best Animated Feature

Best Foreign Language Film

Best Original Score
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Probable winner.
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BradWesley123's rating:


Best Original Song
One Night in Miami... (2020)
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A very strong contender that could finally net Diane Warren her first Oscar after 10 nominations.
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BradWesley123's rating:


Best Cinematography
News of the World (2020)
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Best Costume Design
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BradWesley123's rating:


Best Production Design
The Midnight Sky (2020)
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Parasite showed that the Academy is willing to go contemporary, but it had a big, showy location; The Father has a flat. A BAFTA nod is nothing to laugh off, but I just don't know what impact they're going to have this time. I could definitely see Trial of the Chicago 7 slide in thanks to broad support, but I think that's more likely to aid it in costumes. David Copperfield could make it, but, again, it's costumes are likely to overshadow it. There are, honestly, several others that I wouldn't rule out (The Dig and Rebecca got in a BAFTA, Promising Young Woman is beloved, even Birds of Prey or Jingle Jange have their admirers).
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BradWesley123's rating:


Best Sound
Sound of Metal (2020)
1. Sound of Metal
2. Mank
3. News of the World
4. Tenet
5. Soul
Other Possibilities
6. Greyhound
7. The Trial of the Chicago 7
8. Nomadland
9. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
10. The Midnight Sky
2. Mank
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4. Tenet
5. Soul
6. Greyhound
7. The Trial of the Chicago 7
8. Nomadland
9. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
10. The Midnight Sky
BradWesley123's rating:


Best Film Editing
1. Alan Baumgarten- The Trial of the Chicago 7
2. Chloé Zhao- Nomadland
3. Kirk Baxter- Mank
4. Mikkel E.G. Nielsen- Sound of Metal
5. Frédéric Thoraval- Promising Young Woman
Other Possibilities
6. Yorgos Lamprinos- The Father
7. Harry Yoon- Minari
8. Jennifer Lame- Tenet
9. William Goldenberg- News of the World
10. Kristan Sprague- Judas and the Black Messiah
2. Chloé Zhao- Nomadland
3. Kirk Baxter- Mank
4. Mikkel E.G. Nielsen- Sound of Metal
5. Frédéric Thoraval- Promising Young Woman
6. Yorgos Lamprinos- The Father
7. Harry Yoon- Minari
8. Jennifer Lame- Tenet
9. William Goldenberg- News of the World
10. Kristan Sprague- Judas and the Black Messiah
BradWesley123's rating:


Best Makeup & Hairstyling
Hillbilly Elegy (2020) (1976)
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Best Visual Effects
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BradWesley123's rating:


Sound of Metal: 7
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom: 6
Minari: 6
Nomadland: 6
The Trial of the Chicago 7: 6
Promising Young Woman: 5
The Father: 4
News of the World: 5
One Night in Miami: 4
Judas and the Black Messiah: 3
The Midnight Sky: 3
Soul: 3
Tenet: 3
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm: 2
Collective: 2
The Mauritanian: 2
Welcome to Chechnya: 2
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