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The Oscars 2013: my POV
Predictions - winners
Last updated: February 18 2013
(created on February 17 2013) ✔ 18 right predictions out of 24 (75% of accuracy) ✘ 08 wrong predictions In bold are the bets predicted for most of the sources If a title doesn't have any number indicating a source, it means none of them predict this movie but it won an Oscar anyway BEST PICTURE ✔ Argo Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE ✔ Lincoln (Daniel Day-Lewis) Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ ✘ The Master (Joaquin Phoenix) Ⓐ BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE ✔ Silver Linings Playbook (Jennifer Lawrence) Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE ✘ Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln) Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓤ ✘ Robert De Niro Ⓔ Ⓖ ✔ Christoph Waltz BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE ✔ Les Misérables (Anne Hathaway)Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ BEST DIRECTING ✘ Lincoln (Steven Spielberg) Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ ✘ Silver Linings Playbook (David O. Russel) Ⓐ ✔ Life of Pi (Ang Lee) BEST WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY) ✔ Django Unchained Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ ✘ Amour Ⓔ Ⓖ BEST WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY) ✔ Argo Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ ✘ Lincoln Ⓧ Ⓖ BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM ✘ Wreck-It Ralph Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ ✔ Brave BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM ✔ Amour Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY ✔ Life of Pi Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ BEST FILM EDITING ✔ Argo Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN ✘ Les Misérables Ⓧ ✘ Life of Pi Ⓔ ✘ Anna Karenina Ⓤ Ⓖ ✔ Lincoln BEST COSTUME DESIGN ✔ Anna Karenina Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING ✘ The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey Ⓧ Ⓤ Ⓖ ✔ Les Misérables Ⓔ BEST MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE) ✔ Life of Pi Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ BEST MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG) ✔ Skyfall ("Skyfall") Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ BEST SOUND MIXING ✔ Les Misérables Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ BEST SOUND EDITING ✔ Zero Dark Thirty Ⓧ Ⓤ (tie) ✘ Life of Pi Ⓔ Ⓖ ✔ Skyfall (tie) BEST VISUAL EFFECTS ✔ Life of Pi Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE ✔ Searching for Sugar Man Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT ✘ Open Heart Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ ✔ Inocente BEST SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION) ✔ Curfew Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ BEST SHORT FILM (ANIMATED) ✔ Paperman Ⓐ Ⓧ Ⓔ Ⓤ Ⓖ Sources: Awards Daily Forums' Oscar Predictions Ⓐ 
 7374  8.2  8.9 The Highest Sweep (Winning every nominated category):
In 2004 "The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King" won all 11 categories for which it was nominated: Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, Original Score, Original Song, Sound Mixing, Art Direction, Makeup, Costume Design, Film Editing, Visual Effects. Pedro Fiuza's rating:
 Predictions - nominations
Last updated: February 17 2013
(created on May 21 2012 and updated every month ever since) 104 movies predicted to be nominated 53 movies nominated 09 movies no longer eligible to be nominated during the year 285 predictions 121 right predictions (42,46% of accuracy) 164 wrong predictions 04 unpredicted nominations 52 movies predicted and nominated (see the sections "Seen" and "Unseen") 51 movies predicted but not nominated (see the section with the same name) 01 movie unpredicted but nominated (Ted) (ordered by numbers of predicted nominations) Les Misérables 8 nominations / 15 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture* ** 02. Best Director (Tom Hooper)* ** 03. Best Adapted Screenplay (William Nicholson)* ** 04. Best Cinematography (Danny Cohen)* ** 05. Best Actor (Hugh Jackman)* ** 06. Best Supporting Actress (Anne Hathaway)* ** 07. Best Supporting Actress (Samantha Barks)* 08. Best Supporting Actor (Russell Crowe)* 09. Best Editing (Melanie Oliver, Chris Dickens)* ** 10. Best Production Design* ** 11. Best Costume Design* ** 12. Best Sound Mixing* ** 13. Best Sound Editing* ** 14. Best Makeup and Hairstyling** *** 15. Best Original Song (Suddenly)** Lincoln 12 nominations / 14 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture* ** 02. Best Director (Steven Spielberg)* ** 03. Best Adapted Screenplay (Tony Kushner, John Logan, Paul Webb)* ** 04. Best Cinematography (Janusz Kaminski)* ** 05. Best Actor (Daniel Day-Lewis)* ** 06. Best Supporting Actress (Sally Field)* ** 07. Best Supporting Actor (David Strathairn)* 08. Best Supporting Actor (Tommy Lee Jones)* ** 09. Best Editing (Michael Kahn)* ** 10. Best Production Design* ** 11. Best Costume Design* ** 12. Best Original Score* ** 13. Best Sound Mixing** 14. Best Makeup and Hairstyling** *** Django Unchained 5 nominations / 14 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture* ** 02. Best Director (Quentin Tarantino)* ** 03. Best Original Screenplay (Quentin Tarantino)* ** 04. Best Cinematography (Robert Richardson)** 05. Best Editing (Fred Raskin)** 05. Best Supporting Actor (Leonardo DiCaprio)* ** 06. Best Supporting Actor (Christoph Waltz)** 07. Best Production Design* ** 08. Best Costume Design* ** 09. Best Sound Editing** 10. Best Sound Mixing** 11. Best Original Song (100 Black Coffins)** 12. Best Original Song (Ancora Qui)** 13. Best Original Song (Freedom)** 14. Best Original Song (Who Did That to You?)** Argo 7 nominations / 13 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture* ** 02. Best Director (Ben Affleck)* ** 03. Best Adapted Screenplay (Chris Terrio)* ** 04. Best Cinematography (Rodrigo Prieto)** 05. Best Supporting Actor (John Goodman)** 06. Best Supporting Actor (Bryan Cranston)* 07. Best Supporting Actor (Alan Arkin)* ** 08. Best Editing (William Goldenberg)* ** 09. Best Production Design** 10. Best Original Score* ** 11. Best Costume Design** 12. Best Sound Editing** 13. Best Sound Mixing** Life of Pi 11 nominations / 11 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture* ** 02. Best Director (Ang Lee)* ** 03. Best Adapted Screenplay (David Magee)* ** 04. Best Cinematography (Claudio Miranda)* ** 05. Best Editing (Tim Squyers)* ** 06. Best Production Design* ** 07. Best Original Score* ** 08. Best Achievement in Visual Effects* ** *** 09. Best Sound Mixing* 10. Best Sound Editing* 11. Best Original Song (Pi's Lullaby)** The Master 3 nominations / 10 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture* ** 02. Best Director (Paul Thomas Anderson)* ** 03. Best Original Screenplay (Paul Thomas Anderson)* ** 04. Best Cinematography (Mihai Malaimare Jr.)* ** 05. Best Actor (Joaquin Phoenix)* ** 06. Best Supporting Actor (Philip Seymour Hoffman)* ** 07. Best Supporting Actress (Amy Adams)* ** 08. Best Editing* 09. Best Production Design** 10. Best Original Score** The Dark Knight Rises 0 nominations / 9 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture* ** 02. Best Director (Christopher Nolan)** 03. Best Adapted Screenplay (Christopher Nolan Jonathan Nolan) ** 04. Best Cinematography (Wally Pfister)* ** 05. Best Achievement in Visual Effects* ** *** 06. Best Production Design** 07. Best Sound Mixing* ** 08. Best Sound Editing* ** 09. Best Original Score** Silver Linings Playbook 8 nominations / 8 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture* ** 02. Best Adapted Screenplay (David O. Russell)* ** 03. Best Director (David O. Russell)* ** 04. Best Actor (Bradley Cooper)* ** 05. Best Actress (Jennifer Lawrence)* ** 06. Best Supporting Actor (Robert DeNiro)* ** 07. Best Supporting Actress (Jacki Weaver)** 08. Best Editing (Jay Cassidy)* ** Zero Dark Thirty 5 nominations / 8 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture* ** 02. Best Director (Kathryn Bigelow)* ** 03. Best Original Screenplay (Mark Boal)* ** 04. Best Actress (Jessica Chastain)* ** 05. Best Cinematography (Greig Fraser)** 06. Best Editing (William Goldenberg, Dylan Tichenor)* ** 07. Best Sound Mixing* ** 08. Best Sound Editing* ** Beasts of the Southern Wild 4 nominations / 7 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture* ** 02. Best Director (Benh Zeitlin)** 03. Best Adapted Screenplay (Lucy Alibar, Benh Zeitlin)* ** 04. Best Cinematography (Ben Richardson)** 05. Best Actress (Quvenzhané Wallis)* ** 06. Best Supporting Actor (Dwight Henry)* ** 07. Best Original Score* ** Cloud Atlas 0 nominations / 7 predicted nominations 01. Best Cinematography (Frank Griebe, John Toll)** 02. Best Supporting Actor (Jim Broadbent)** 03. Best Achievement in Visual Effects** *** 04. Best Original Score** 05. Best Costume Design** 06. Best Sound Editing** 07. Best Sound Mixing** Looper 0 nominations / 7 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture** 02. Best Director (Rian Johnson)** 03. Best Original Screenplay (Rian Johnson)** 04. Best Supporting Actor (Bruce Wiilis)** 05. Best Sound Editing** 06. Best Sound Mixing** 07. Best Makeup and Hairstyling*** Anna Karenina 4 nominations / 6 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture* ** 02. Best Cinematography (Seamus McGarvey)* 03. Best Actress (Keira Knightley)* 04. Best Production Design* ** 05. Best Costume Design* ** 06. Best Original Score* ** Amour 5 nominations / 6 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture* ** 02. Best Director (Michael Haneke)** 03. Best Original Screenplay (Michael Haneke)* ** 04. Best Foreign Language Film (Austria)* ** *** 05. Best Actress (Emmanuelle Riva)* ** 06. Best Actor (Jean-Louis Trintignant)** Flight 2 nominations / 6 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture** 02. Best Director (Bob Zemeckis)** 03. Best Original Screenplay (John Gatins)* ** 04. Best Actor (Denzel Washington)* ** 05. Best Supporting Actor (Don Cheadle)** 06. Best Supporting Actress (Kellie Reilly)** Skyfall 5 nominations / 6 predicted nominations / 1 unpredicted nomination (+) 01. Best Cinematography (Roger Deakins)* ** 02. Best Supporting Actor (Javier Bardem)** 03. Best Achievement in Visual Effects** *** 04. Best Sound Editing** 05. Best Sound Mixing** 06. Best Original Song (“Skyfall”)** +07. Best Original Score (Thomas Newman) Monrise Kingdom 1 nomination / 5 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture* ** 02. Best Director (Wes Anderson)** 03. Best Original Screenplay (Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola)* ** 04. Best Original Score** 05. Best Costume Design** Hyde Park on Hudson 0 nominations / 5 predicted nominations 01. Best Actor (Bill Murray)* 02. Best Actress (Laura Linney)* 03. Best Supporting Actress (Olivia Williams)* 04. Best Production Design** 05. Best Costume Design** Hitchcock 1 nomination / 5 predicted nominations 01. Best Actress (Helen Mirren)* 02. Best Production Design** 03. Best Makeup and Hairstyling** *** 04. Best Original Score** 05. Best Costume Design** The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey 3 nominations / 5 predicted nominations 01. Best Production Design* ** 02. Best Achievement in Visual Effects* ** *** 03. Best Makeup and Hairstyling** *** 04. Best Costume Design** 05. Best Original Song (Song of Lonely Mountain)** The Sessions 1 nomination / 4 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture* 02. Best Adapted Screenplay (Ben Lewin)* 03. Best Actress / Supporting Actress (Helen Hunt)* ** 04. Best Actor (John Hawkes)* ** Middle of Nowhere 0 nominations / 4 predicted nominations 01. Best Director (Ava DuVernay)** 02. Best Original Screenplay (Ava DuVernay)** 03. Best Actress (Emayatzy Corinealdi)** 04. Best Supporting Actress (Lorraine Toussaint)** The Impossible 1 nomination / 3 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture* ** 02. Best Actress (Naomi Watts)* ** 03. Best Actor (Tom Holland)** The Avengers 1 nomination / 3 predicted nominations 01. Best Achievement in Visual Effects* ** *** 02. Best Sound Mixing* ** 03. Best Sound Editing* ** Arbitrage 0 nominations / 3 predicted nominations 01. Best Original Screenplay (Nicholas Jarecki)** 02. Best Actor (Richard Gere)** 03. Best Supporting Actor (Nate Parker)** The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel 0 nominations / 3 predicted nominations 01. Best Picture** 02. Best Supporting Actor (Bill Nighy)** 03. Best Supporting Actress (Maggie Smith)** Prometheus 1 nomination / 3 predicted nominations 01. Best Achievement in Visual Effects* ** *** 02. Best Sound Editing** 03. Best Sound Mixing** The Amazing Spider-Man 0 nominations / 3 predicted nominations 01. Best Achievement in Visual Effects** *** 02. Best Sound Editing** 03. Best Sound Mixing** Snow White and the Huntsman 2 nominations / 3 predicted nominations / 1 unpredicted nomination (+) 01. Best Makeup and Hairstyling** *** 02. Best Achievement in Visual Effects** *** 03. Best Original Song (Breath of Life)** +04. Best Costume Design Brave 1 nomination / 3 predicted nominations 01. Best Animated Feature Film* ** 02. Best Original Song (Touch the Sky)** 03. Best Original Song (Learn Me Right)** The Paperboy 0 nominations / 2 predicted nominations 01. Best Supporting Actress (Nicole Kidman)* ** 02. Best Supporting Actor (John Cusack)* Frankenweenie 1 nomination / 2 predicted nominations 01. Best Animated Feature Film* ** 02. Best Original Song (Strange Love)** Wreck-it Ralph 1 nomination / 2 predicted nominations 01. Best Animated Feature Film* ** 02. Best Original Song (When Can I See You Again?)** Rise of the Guardians 0 nominations / 2 predicted nominations 01. Best Animated Feature Film* ** 02. Best Original Song (Still Dream)** The Lorax 0 nominations / 2 predicted nominations 01. Best Animated Feature Film** 02. Best Original Song (Let it Grow)** The Perks of Being a Wallflower 0 nominations / 2 predicted nominations 01. Best Adapted Screenplay (Stephen Chbosky)* ** 02. Best Supporting Actor (Ezra Miller)** Battleship 0 nominations / 2 predicted nominations 01. Best Sound Editing** 02. Best Sound Mixing** Magic Mike 0 nominations / 2 predicted nominations 01. Best Supporting Actor (Matthew McConaughey)* ** 02. Best Original Song (Ladies of Tampa)** Rust and Bone 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Actress (Marion Cotillard)* ** Girl Most Likely 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Supporting Actress (Annette Bening)* Holy Motors 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Picture** The Deep Blue Sea 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Actress (Rachel Weisz)** Compliance 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Supporting Actress (Ann Dowd)** The Intochables 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Foreign Language Film (France)* ** *** A Royal Affair 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Foreign Language Film (Denmark)* ** *** No 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Foreign Language Film (Chile)* ** *** War Witch 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Foreign Language Film (Canada)* *** Beyond the Hills 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Foreign Language Film (Romania)** *** Sister 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Foreign Language Film (Switzerland)*** Kon-Tiki 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Foreign Language Film (Norway)* *** The Deep 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Foreign Language Film (Iceland)* *** Mirror Mirror 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Costume Design Hotel Transylvania 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Animated Feature Film** The Pirates! Band of Misfist 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Animated Feature Film* Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Animated Feature Film** ParaNorman 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Animated Feature Film* ** Men in Black 3 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Makeup and Hairstyling** *** John Carter 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Achievement in Visual Effects** *** The Hunger Games 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Original Song (Abraham's Daughter)** This is 40 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Original Song (Dull Tool)** Safety Not Guaranteed 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Original Song (Big Machine)** Ai weiwei: Never Sorry 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Feature*** ** Bully 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Feature*** ** Chasing Ice 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination / 1 unpredicted nomination (+) 01. Best Documentary Feature*** ** +02. Best Song (“Before My Time”) Detropia 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Feature*** ** Ethel 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Feature*** ** 5 Broken Cameras 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Feature** *** The Gatekeepers 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Feature** *** The House I Live In 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Feature*** How to Survive a Plague 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Feature** *** The Imposter 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Feature*** The Invisible War 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Feature** *** Mea Maxima Culpa: Silence in the House of God 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Feature*** ** Seaching for Sugar Man 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Feature** *** This is Not a Film 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Feature*** ** The Waiting Room 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Feature*** ** A Fábrica 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Short Film (Live Action)*** Asad 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Short Film (Live Action)*** Buzkashi Boys 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Short Film (Live Action)*** Curfew 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Short Film (Live Action)*** Death of a Shadow 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Short Film (Live Action)*** Henry 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Short Film (Live Action)*** Kiruna-Kigali 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Short Film (Live Action)*** Il turno di notte lo fanno le stelle 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Short Film (Live Action)*** 9 meter 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Short Film (Live Action)*** Salar 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Short Film (Live Action)*** When You Find Me 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Short Film (Live Action)*** Adam and Dog 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Animated Short*** Combustible 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Animated Short*** Dripped 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Animated Short*** The Eagleman Stag 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Animated Short*** Fresh Guacamole 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Animated Short*** Head Over Heels 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Animated Short*** The Simpsons: The Longest Daycare 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Animated Short*** Paperman 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Animated Short*** Tram 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Animated Short*** The Education of Mohammad Hussein 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Short Subject*** Inocente 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Short Subject*** Kings Point 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Short Subject*** Mondays at Racine 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Short Subject*** Open Heart 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Short Subject*** Paraíso 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Short Subject*** The Perfect Fit 0 nominations / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Short Subject*** Redemption 1 nomination / 1 predicted nomination 01. Best Documentary Short Subject*** Ted 1 unpredicted nomination (+) +01. Best Song ("Everybody Needs a Best Friend") Sources: Awards Daily Forums' Oscar Predictions* Awards Daily's 2012 Contender Tracker** Oscars shortlists*** 
7726 7 7.6 Alongside All About Eve (1950), "Titanic" is up to today the movie with the most nominations in Oscars history: 14.
But while "Eve" won only 6, "Titanic" won 11. This year, the most nominated movie is Lincoln, with 12 nominations. Pedro Fiuza's rating:
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(top of the list got watched first and so it goes)
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Unseen |
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mas ei, peraí. ben affleck melhor diretor? baseado em q?
Também tô doido pra ver The Master. Já vi Moonrise Kingdom e é ótimo! Silver Linings Playbook eu tomei conhecimento hoje. Até o mês passado ele não era nem citado como candidato e hoje já tem quatro indicações (de peso). The Impossible também tomei conhecimento hoje, mas não sei de nada. Anna Karenina não tô tão afim, mas Django sim!
Fora esses, quero muito ver Beasts of the Southern Wild. É o filme que mais espero esse ano. Também quero muito ver Amour e Rust & Bone. O resto tanto faz =P
Pois é, Ben Affleck pra Melhor Diretor. Eu tenho meu pé atrás também, mas geral tá dizendo que esse filme é muito bom e o Ebert disse que ele venceria o Oscar de Melhor Filme se a tradição do vencedor de Toronto que vence o Oscar, continuar.