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Added by BradWesley123 on 5 Sep 2012 04:12
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I Thought You'd Be Bigger: Part 1

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People who added this item 466 Average listal rating (333 ratings) 5.7 IMDB Rating 6.1
Summer 2011 was the summer of the R-Rated Comedy, so it was easy for me to expect a solid haul for this one, meh.

Prediction: $50-70mil.
Actual: $37,053,924.
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I thought that this one would transcend it's title and bring in a decent take. Guess not.

Prediction: $70-90mil.
Actual: $37,519,139.
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People who added this item 1194 Average listal rating (783 ratings) 7.1 IMDB Rating 7.4
Huge overseas, not so much here.

Prediction: $100-120mil.
Actual: $77,591,831.
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The first two weren't that good and they still made over $215 mil.

Prediction: $190-210mil.
Actual: $133,110,742.
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People who added this item 280 Average listal rating (177 ratings) 7 IMDB Rating 7.1
Great family christmas story, just too damn British for some.

Prediction: $80-100mil.
Actual: $46,462,469.
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People who added this item 711 Average listal rating (508 ratings) 5.5 IMDB Rating 5.9
Battleship (2012)
Yeah, I kinda new this one was screwed when it was announced, but I never could have expected it to bomb as bad as it did.

Prediction: $100-120mil.
Actual: $65,233,400.
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People who added this item 225 Average listal rating (157 ratings) 6 IMDB Rating 6.2
The Big Year (2011)
3 big comic stars seemed like a safe bet. Guess Not.

Prediction: At least $50mil.
Actual: $7,204,138.
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People who added this item 1185 Average listal rating (783 ratings) 5 IMDB Rating 5.8
Brüno (2009)
Borat was a critically acclaimed smash, and it seemed like this one would be too. But critics weren't as kind, and Cinemascore reported that the average viewer gave the movie a "C", so the word of mouth was pretty bad. It opened to about $30mil., and made exactly throughout the rest of it's run.

Prediction: $100-110mil.
Actual: $60,054,530.
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People who added this item 1337 Average listal rating (1008 ratings) 7 IMDB Rating 7
Didn't do bad, but I still thought it would have made more.

Predicition: $50-65mil.
Actual: $42,073,277.
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People who added this item 611 Average listal rating (411 ratings) 5.7 IMDB Rating 6.4
The Change-Up (2011)
Another of the R-Rated 2011 comedies, I never expected it to $100mil. like the rest, but I was still expecting a decent haul.

Prediction: $60-80mil.
Actual: $37,081,475.
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People who added this item 1114 Average listal rating (706 ratings) 6.6 IMDB Rating 6.8
Granted, "The Polar Express" wasn't the greatest critical success of all time, but it still made a pretty penny at the box office. While this one maid a decent amount, it still was not as big as "Express," nor did it remake it's budget, at least not in the U.S.

Prediction: $180-200mil.
Actual: $137,855,863.
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People who added this item 501 Average listal rating (336 ratings) 4.9 IMDB Rating 5.2
Panned by critics and audiences alike.

Prediction: $50-80mil.
Actual: $21,295,021.
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People who added this item 1076 Average listal rating (722 ratings) 5.7 IMDB Rating 6
Indy & Bond with the director of "Iron Man," what could go wrong? Those motherfuckin' Smurfs!

Prediction: $200-240mil.
Actual: $100,240,551.
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People who added this item 1788 Average listal rating (1039 ratings) 6.2 IMDB Rating 6.2
Dark Shadows (2012)
Burton/Depp is always a safe bet, but this one wasn't as critically praised, and it was released on the heals of The Avengers. It was big Worldwide, but not so much here.

Prediction: $140-160mil.
Actual: $79,727,149
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People who added this item 2143 Average listal rating (1569 ratings) 7.8 IMDB Rating 7.8
Drive (2011)
Okay, let me be clear, I never thought that this movie was going to break box office records, but I at least thought that it would and up a bit higher than it did.

Prediction: Around $50-65mil.
Actual: $35,060,689
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People who added this item 476 Average listal rating (324 ratings) 6.1 IMDB Rating 6.6
Mel, Mel, Mel!!! Why couldn't you just keep your damn mouth shut. You had a decent movie, then you had to fuck up it's potential.

Prediction: $70-90mil.
Actual: $43,313,890.
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People who added this item 985 Average listal rating (686 ratings) 6.4 IMDB Rating 6.7
It's still out in theaters, but it's a guarantee to finish behind it's predecessor, even though most people thought of it as a better movie. At least it'll win the AARP Movie of the Year Award.

Prediction: $100-130mi.
Actual: $84,370,358 (So far...)
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People who added this item 441 Average listal rating (304 ratings) 6.1 IMDB Rating 6.2
Prediction: About $60mil.,as much as "Forgetting Sarah Marshall".
Actual: $28,700,285.
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People who added this item 675 Average listal rating (451 ratings) 6.2 IMDB Rating 6.4
Fright Night (2011)
Easily one of the most unfairly overlooked movies of 2011, I actually really enjoyed this one. It's not so much a horror movie as a supernatural thriiler, but it also had some funny bits, and Colin Farrell was a genuinely creepy villian. Had the luxury of going up against "The Help" when it was just starting to heat up.

Prediction: $70-90mil.
Actual: $18,302,607.
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People who added this item 1201 Average listal rating (821 ratings) 5.4 IMDB Rating 5.6
Green Lantern (2011)
A comic book adaptation, a massive budget, and well known star, and a prime summer release date. For any other movie, these would be the makings of a huge box office champion, but when GL was released, it landed with a thud. Okay, so the opening weekend of $53mil. was not terribly bad considering, but it held very poorly, and audiences were turned off by it's routine plot and lack of inspiration.

Prediction: $170-200mil.
Actual: $116,601,172.
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People who added this item 659 Average listal rating (452 ratings) 6.5 IMDB Rating 6.9
Green Zone (2010)
It had the right ingredients. The star and director of one of the most successful franchises ever, "Bourne," and a real world topic with the guarantee of big, realistic action. But the interest just wasn't there, and the marketing did a poor job of explaining why an audience might care.

Prediction:At least $100mil.
Actual: $35,053,660.
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I knew that it had virtually no chance of coming close to the original, but I at least thought it might make enough to be worth the effort. Maybe audiences just didn't want to see a 15th Nic Cage movie this year alone.

Prediction: $70-85mil.
Actual: $51,774,002.
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People who added this item 290 Average listal rating (164 ratings) 5.8 IMDB Rating 5.9
Happy Feet 2 (2011)
Come, did anyone expect this one to bomb? The first one was a beloved, Oscar winning hit. Yet, the studio put a terrible marketing campaign into it, as well as position it against a Twilight movie. And to cap it all off, the movie got pretty lackluster reviews.

Prediction: $150-200mil.
Actual: $64,006,466.
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People who added this item 2963 Average listal rating (2071 ratings) 6.7 IMDB Rating 7
Iron Man 2 (2010)
A hit, but I thought that it would win 2010, and outgross it's predecessor.

Prediction: $415mil.
Actual: $312,433,331.
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People who added this item 798 Average listal rating (553 ratings) 6.2 IMDB Rating 6.6
John Carter (2012)
First off, I actually liked this one, granted I thought that it started quite slowly, it was still quite visually impressive. But Disney pulled every stop, and gave this movie possibly the worst marketing campaign in the history of movies. With a $250mil budget, and title as generic and as uninclusive as they come, this was destined to fail.

Prediction: $150mil.
Actual: $73,078,100.
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People who added this item 484 Average listal rating (344 ratings) 5 IMDB Rating 5.4
Thought it would actually be good. Also not helping it's box office chances, competing against "The Hangover" on it's opening weekend, and "Up"'s second.

Prediction: $90-100mil.
Actual: $49,438,370.
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People who added this item 355 Average listal rating (255 ratings) 5.7 IMDB Rating 6.1
Larry Crowne (2011)
Two extremely likable leads at the top of there game, with a topical plot with the makings of a greaat movie. Turned out to be more bland the topical, and audiences don't like bland.

Prediction: $60-80mil.
Actual: $35,608,245.
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While the film is undeniably beautiful to look at, parents really didn't want to take there kids to see a movie about cute owls fighting and killing each other, and older crowds thought that it was meaning for kids.

Prediction: $80-100mil.
Actual: $55,675,313.
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People who added this item 2945 Average listal rating (2127 ratings) 7.3 IMDB Rating 7.7
Kick-Ass (2010)
Though it was a comic book adaptation, usually easy draws, the violence turned many average viewers awya, making this one more of a cult hit than an actual one.

Prediction: $80-90mil.
Actual: $48,071,303.
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People who added this item 1175 Average listal rating (807 ratings) 6.9 IMDB Rating 7.3
Didn't bomb, but still didn't meet the heights that the original did, even though it's arguably better.

Prediction: Around $260mil.
Actual: $165,249,063.
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People who added this item 2240 Average listal rating (1494 ratings) 6.1 IMDB Rating 6.9
"Oprah Couch Jumping." Need I say more?

Prediction: $180-210mil.
Actual: $134,029,801.
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People who added this item 933 Average listal rating (692 ratings) 6 IMDB Rating 6.4
Predators (2010)
It had been 20 years since the last "Predator" movie had been released, with the exclusion of the "AVP" franchise, so fan expectations were high going in. But while it did fairly well with critics, audiences thought that it was trying to rip off the original, adding nothing new to the franchise.

Prediction: $80-100mil.
Actual:$52,000,688.
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People who added this item 723 Average listal rating (469 ratings) 5.5 IMDB Rating 5.7
Priest (2011)
Critically panned, came out the same weekend as "Bridesmaids," 'Nuff said.

Prediction: $60-80mil.
Actual: $29,136,626.
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People who added this item 1774 Average listal rating (1276 ratings) 6.8 IMDB Rating 7
Prometheus (2012)
While it still did well, this is one many predicted would take the box office by storm. It did on opening weekend, but was too polarizing for audiences to go back for more, and mixed word of mouth did not help either.

Prediction: $180-210mil.
Actual: $126,477,084.
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People who added this item 1589 Average listal rating (1000 ratings) 6.4 IMDB Rating 6.7
Robin Hood (2010)
In 2000, Ridley Scott & Russell Crowe teamed up to bring us the massive Oscar winning epic "Gladiator," so many thought that these two going back to a period piece with such a widely known figure would be a slam dunk. It opened well enough, but soon cooled off, and barely cracked the $100mil. mark. Critics and audiences were turned off by the familiarity of the project, and baffled by Crowe's accent.

Prediction: Around $200mil.
Actual: $105,269,730.
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People who added this item 388 Average listal rating (226 ratings) 5.5 IMDB Rating 5.9
Rock Of Ages (2012)
Not as bad of a movie as it's made out to be, but just too bland to really care enough to see. The marketing put more of an emphasis on the "good time" feel of the film, while not promoting the biggest star, an brightest spot, of the film Tom Cruise.

Prediction: At least $100mil.
Actual: $38,518,613.
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People who added this item 839 Average listal rating (434 ratings) 5.9 IMDB Rating 6.2
The Rum Diary (2011)
Didn't expect it to be a juggernaut, but with Johnny Depp's name attached, and the oddball look of the film, I thought that it might attract a decent audience. It did not.

Prediction: $40-60mil.
Actual: $13,109,815.
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People who added this item 2409 Average listal rating (1737 ratings) 7.4 IMDB Rating 7.5
You wouldn't really thing of it as a bomb had the budget been smaller, but at over $60mil., this one did infact bomb. Many had predicted that it would play well with the indie/alt. crowd, which it did, when it was released on DVD. Also not helping the case, the releases of "Eat, Prey, Love" and "The Expendables" on the same weekend.

Prediction: $70-90mil.
Actual: $31,524,275.
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People who added this item 1009 Average listal rating (636 ratings) 5.9 IMDB Rating 6.2
Scream 4 (2011)
11 years after the dissapointing "Scream 3," most were expecting a revival of the franchise. This one was a case where people thought that it would succeed, without actually going to see it. Plus, it opened up against animated family flick "Rio."

Prediction: $100-110mil.
Actual: $38,180,928.
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Yeah, I never thought that it was gonna break box office records, but I never thought that it would come and go as quickly as it did.

Prediction: $30-40mil.
Actual: $7,078,738.
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People who added this item 1586 Average listal rating (1074 ratings) 5.9 IMDB Rating 6.1
Sucker Punch (2011)
"300" was a monster hit, and while "Watchmen" was not a huge hit, it still had it's fans. When "Sucker Punch" was released, critics ravaged it, and audiences were turned off as well. Personally, I hated it and can completely understand why it bombed, but I have to admit that it is truly a visual achievement.

Prediction: At least $100mil.
Actual: $36,392,502.
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People who added this item 2752 Average listal rating (1835 ratings) 5.9 IMDB Rating 6.1
While this one did make $200mil., it seemed destined for more. While it did finish around %76 positive on Rotten Tomatoes, audiences did not feel the same way, being turned off by it's routine plot and some unconvincing acting.

Prediction: About $300mil.
Actual: $200,081,192.
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People who added this item 274 Average listal rating (198 ratings) 5 IMDB Rating 5.6
That's My Boy (2012)
Jack & Jill was pure shit, and failed to hit the $100mil. pool that the Sandman usually swims in. After that misstep, it seemed like good business to go back to his original brand of raunchy humor to get him back on track. But with plot points revolving around paedophilia, incest, and teenage parenting, it turned audiences off, and became Sandler's lowest grossing film since the 90's.

Prediction: $100mil.
Actual: $$36,931,089.
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People who added this item 699 Average listal rating (416 ratings) 5.8 IMDB Rating 5.8
A terrible, terrible movie that should have made even less than it did.

Prediction: $70-100mil.
Actual: $20,374,484.
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People who added this item 817 Average listal rating (560 ratings) 5.9 IMDB Rating 6.3
Total Recall (2012)
One of the movies that I thought would at least do well. It's not that it's a really bad movie, it just isn't as memorable or a thought provoking as the original. Of coarse, going up against "The Dark Knight Rises" 3rd weekend probably didn't help.

Prediction: $120-140mil.
Actual: $58,877,969 (So far...)
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People who added this item 754 Average listal rating (576 ratings) 7.9 IMDB Rating 8.2
Warrior (2011)
Opening at the height of the MMA craze, it's seemed like a safe bet.

Prediction: $50-60mil.
Actual: $13,657,115

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People who added this item 3020 Average listal rating (2169 ratings) 7.2 IMDB Rating 7.6
Watchmen (2009)
Coming off of the big success of "300," Warner Bros. and Zack Snyder opted to adapted the beloved graphic novel as there next blockbuster, but they learned a valuable lesson in the process. You can make a great film, with some strong performance and lush production design, but nobody wants to sit through almost three hours of floating blue penis.

Prediction: $150-180mil.
Actual: $107,509,799.
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People who added this item 539 Average listal rating (377 ratings) 5.5 IMDB Rating 5.8
The first made a whopping $160mil. domestically, and this looked like it could continue the hit streak. Granted, I never thought it could match the original, but I thought it could at least do well.

Prediction: $100-140mil.
Actul: $83,670,083.
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People who added this item 884 Average listal rating (610 ratings) 4.5 IMDB Rating 4.9
Year One (2009)
Two in-demand comedic actors in a setting that seemed ripe for comedy, and Judd Apatow backing it. NO GO!

Prediction: $80-105mil.
Actual: $43,337,279.
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People who added this item 781 Average listal rating (481 ratings) 4.9 IMDB Rating 5.6
Your Highness (2011)
It had a goofy premise, and some great actors so I thought it might do well.

Prediction: $60-70mil.
Actual: $21,596,445.
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Though the title is a misdirection and a blatant and heartfelt rip off of the classic "Road House."

This is a list of films that I thought would have made more money than they actually ended up making.

Other lists in this series.
Part 2

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Comments

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Posted: 4 years ago at Sep 21 1:21
When's part 2 going to be posted up?
Posted: 4 years ago at Sep 21 2:25
Not sure, still compiling.
Posted: 3 years, 11 months ago at Oct 31 19:35
You had me at "motherfuckin smurfs!"

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